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RON PAUL AND AMERICA’S “MILITARY OPTION” AGAINST IRAN

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
We note that, even though he is leaving the U.S. Congress in just a few months, Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) continues to fight the good fight on Iran-related issues.  Last week, Paul was one of the few to speak out, clearly and forthrightly, against the latest congressional resolution “expressing the sense of the House of [...]
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WHAT DO BRET STEPHENS AND CONDI RICE HAVE IN COMMON? THEY BOTH CHEERED DISASTROUS WARS AND DISLIKE FLYNT LEVERETT CALLING THEM ON IT

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
The 2012 U.S. presidential election campaign kicked off in earnest this week, as President Obama formally launched his re-election bid and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney sealed his claim to the Republican nomination.  Barring unforeseen events, the next significant milestone in the campaign between now and the Democratic and Republican conventions this summer will be [...]
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HILLARY MANN LEVERETT IN CNN SPECIAL ON THE IRANIAN NUCLEAR ISSUE

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
Last month, in connection with the P5+1 nuclear talks with Iran in Istanbul, Hillary appeared in a CNN International Special Presentation with Christiane Amanpour,  A Nuclear Iran: The Expert Intel.  Other guests included Mohammad Javad Larajani and Robert Kelley (formerly with the IAEA).  The video can be viewed by clicking here (it is in three [...]
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THE UNITED STATES AND THE LOST ART OF GRAND STRATEGY–FLYNT LEVERETT AT PENN STATE

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
Earlier this month, Flynt gave a public lecture at Pennsylvania State University’s School of International Affairs and Dickinson School of Law, where he teaches.  His presentation was entitled “Energy, Economics, and the Lost Art of Grand Strategy:  American Policy Toward the Persian Gulf and Rising Asia in the 21st Century,” and can be seen here.  In this lecture, [...]
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IRAN MYTHS PERPETUATED BY THE WALL STREET JOURNAL AND THE NEW YORK TIMES

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
In the run-up to this weekend’s P5+1 “negotiations” with the Islamic Republic, two of America’s leading newspapers published stories reflecting deep-seated myths about the Islamic Republic rather than reporting on real facts.  First, Farnaz Fassihi of The Wall Street Journal “reported”, see here, on the perennial myth that internal divisions had “seeped” into the nuclear file [...]
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IRAN, CHINA’S RISE, AND AMERICAN STRATEGY

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
Earlier this week, Hillary went on Al Jazeera’s Inside Story to talk about the United States’ “strategic pivot” (as the Obama Administration describes it) toward Asia, from the Middle East, see here or click on video above.  The other panelists are Barry Pavel, a former National Security Council defense policy staffer for both the George [...]
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RULES AND REGULATIONS FOR www.RaceforIran.com

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
We are very grateful to all our readers for their interest and dedication to an informed debate on www.RaceForIran.com. The purpose of the comment section is to promote informed debate, share pertinent information and news items—as links, not copyright-infringing cut-and-paste copying of others’ text, and encourage constructive criticism and analysis about Iran and its geopolitics. The comment [...]
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UNDER THE THREAT OF WAR, IRANIANS AFFIRM THEIR SUPPORT FOR THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
As we have discussed in multiple posts, major Western media outlets brought an agenda-driven and intellectually sloppy approach to their coverage of the Islamic Republic’s 2009 presidential election.  From their coverage of the Islamic Republic’s recent parliamentary elections, it would seem that there has not been much of a learning curve.  One all-too-typical example is The [...]
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SANCTIONS, THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN’S LEGITIMACY, AND AMERICA’S MIDDLE EAST POLICY

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
  Flynt recently made a short video for Penn State’s School of International Affairs, where he holds a faculty appointment, about a range of Iran-related issues, click  here or on the video pictured above.  He discusses the impact of sanctions and other sorts of coercive pressure on Iran, arguing that “we are not going to be [...]
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AIPAC, ISRAEL, AND AMERICA’S IRAN DEBATE

The Race for Iran Blog - Fri, 2012-05-18 19:46
  Hillary appeared on Al Jazeera’s Inside Story earlier this week to discuss the role of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) in U.S. presidential elections, click here or on the picture above.  The other panelists were John Mearsheimer, University of Chicago international relations scholar and co-author of The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy, [...]
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Rand: How to Defuse Iran's Nuclear Threat

Gary's choices - Wed, 2012-05-16 15:04
Rand: How to Defuse Iran's Nuclear Threat:

An Israeli or American attack on Iranian nuclear facilities would make it more, not less, likely that the Iranian regime would decide to produce and deploy nuclear weapons. Such an attack would also make it more, not less, difficult to contain Iranian influence.

A group of experts at the Rand Corporation have produced a study of practical and effective ways to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon.

Their prescription: Bolster Diplomacy, Israeli Security, and the Iranian Citizenry

Full text is available at the link above.

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OBAMA’S DEAL WITH NETANYAHU: IRAN MUST SURRENDER ITS CIVILIAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM, BUT MILITARY ACTION NEEDS TO WAIT; LEVERETT ON ANTIWAR RADIO

The Race for Iran Blog - Sun, 2012-05-06 15:04
Hillary was interviewed by Scott Horton on Antiwar Radio today, you can listen to it here, to discuss Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s visit to Washington and the various public statements, by Netanyahu and President Obama associated with the visit.  The Obama Administration congratulated itself over not letting Netanyahu tie it to a specific red [...]
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IS OBAMA PREPARING TO COMMIT THE UNITED STATES TO AN EVENTUAL WAR AGAINST THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN?

The Race for Iran Blog - Wed, 2012-05-02 23:49
The next 72 hours are critical for President Barack Obama to make his case to America’s pro-Israel constituencies and Israel’s Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu that he will continue to follow their lead in dealing with the Islamic Republic of Iran.   AIPAC’s annual policy conference opens tomorrow in Washington, DC, with an estimated 13,000 participants ready [...]
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Now just how likely is a war with Iran?

Gary's choices - Tue, 2012-05-01 16:03
Now just how likely is a war with Iran?:

This is an excellent roundup of the various political positions concerning relations with Iran, by the astute Jim Lobe.

Bottom line: For the time being, there is more room for diplomacy.

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Why do only the Israeli hawks get heard?

Gary's choices - Tue, 2012-05-01 11:46
Why do only the Israeli hawks get heard?:

Philip Weiss, founder and co-editor of Mondoweiss.net wonders why only the sensational (and incorrect) claims of impending war with Iran get all the attention of the NYT and other main stream media outlets. Along the way, he quotes my own debunking comments from this blog.

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Great maps of the Persian Gulf

Gary's choices - Tue, 2012-05-01 10:33
Great maps of the Persian Gulf:

If you enjoy maps, or if you are simply interested in learning more, Mike Izady, the webmaster of the Gulf/2000 project at Columbia Univ., has a treat for you at http://gulf2000.columbia.edu/maps.shtml

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The Israeli Generals Revolt

Gary's choices - Fri, 2012-04-27 15:53
The Israeli Generals Revolt:

Israeli Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu is convinced that Iran is on the verge of acquiring a nuclear weapon. He believes that the Iranians cannot be deterred through diplomacy, and he views the Iranian threat as one that may bring about a second Jewish Holocaust.

His generals disagree.

In one of the most astounding public breaks by the Israeli national security establishment with a sitting prime minister, Netanyahu’s own military Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz has stated that Iran’s leadership is rational. Gantz is not alone. 

[Read the full text of this article by Joel Rubin, the Director of Policy and Government Affairs at the Ploughshares Fund, at the link above.]

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The Ineptitude of Emanuele Ottolenghi

Gary's choices - Tue, 2012-04-24 10:55

Emanuele Ottolenghi of the right wing Foundation for the Defense of Democracies has written a clumsy hatchet job about me: Gary Sick, Discredited but Honored, Middle East Quarterly, Spring 2012, pp. 73-79. 

 Why, he wonders, could anyone give credence to my views when I had been so thoroughly discredited for my work on the “October Surprise,” the allegation that members of the Reagan campaign conspired with members of Khomeini’s Islamic Republic to prevent the release of American hostages until after the election of Ronald Reagan in November 1980. To demonstrate just how wrong I was, he fixes on a tiny episode, the sale of arms brokered by someone named Mehdi Kashani.

The episode in fact involved clandestine shipments of military equipment from Israel to Iran. Mr. Ottolenghi manages to spin his web of accusations without ever mentioning that fact. Instead, he focuses exclusively on the confusion of two different individuals – Mehdi Kashani and Ahmed Kashani – in the story told by a self-proclaimed Israeli Mossad agent named Ari Ben Menashe. It is true that Menashe melded these two different individuals in his story. I clearly pointed out the confusion in the names.

But the reason this story was of any significance was that it demonstrated that, despite the Islamic revolution in Iran, Israel continued to conduct clandestine arms deals with Iran throughout the early 1980s, up to the moment of the Iran-contra affair when the Reagan administration secretly shipped arms to Iran at Israeli instigation. That fact did not rely on Menashe’s tangled tale: there was a contract and I had a copy.

Here is where it gets interesting. On December 3, 2010, Mr. Ottolenghi contacted me by email, saying: “I am contacting you because I am conducting some research on an Iranian gentleman named Mehdi Kashani. You referred to him several times in your seminal book October Surprise. In particular, on page 294, footnote 24, you mention that you are in possession of a copy of a document with Kashani’s signature from January 1983 that links him to the ASCO Malta arms sale to Iran…”

I said I had forgotten this particular footnoted item, but if it was important to him I would make my files available to him. On January 24, 2011, Ottolenghi’s research assistant, Laura Grossman, came to my apartment and spent two hours looking though my files from twenty years earlier. She found the contract and made a copy of it. A few days later I received the following email:

Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2011 11:19:24 +0100 

From: Emanuele Ottolenghi <[email protected]>

To: [email protected] 

Subject: RE: query about Mehdi Kashani

Dear Professor Sick, I just wanted to thank you again for being so gracious and letting my colleague Laura come and sift through your archive. The material she forwarded is exactly what I was hoping to find and it confirms my assumptions about Mr Kashani – who remains active in Europe today in a number of commercial endeavours. Again, thank you for being willing to share your material.

My warmest regards,

Emanuele Ottolenghi

In his article, which accuses me of misleading research, he somehow fails to even mention this.

I had of course done the usual background search on Ottolenghi. He is identified, for example, as follows in RightWeb: “Emanuele Ottolenghi is a Brussels-based senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), an advocacy organization in Washington, D.C., that has promoted an expansive “war on terror” and housed a slate of well-known neoconservative writers. Ottolenghi is also a member of the Committee on the Present Danger, a Cold War-era pressure group that was revived by leading hawks to push militarist U.S. foreign policies after 9/11, and is the former director of the Brussels-based Transatlantic Institute, a think tank affiliated with the American Jewish Committee, which previously published Commentary magazine and has backed other European–based “pro-Israel” groups like UN Watch.” 

I suspected he was up to something. On the other hand, I had nothing to hide. In fact, Laura’s search of my files turned up the very document mentioned in the footnote supporting my point about the Israeli clandestine arms sale to Iran.

Ottolenghi fails to mention that the arms transaction was between Israel and Iran, that Mehdi Kashani was indeed an arms dealer involved in transactions between Israel and Iran, that my book October Surprise was precisely correct about the arms transaction, and that I had personally provided him a copy of the contract that proved it.

With all of this dissembling, he now claims that his discovery that I was in fact telling the truth is evidence that I should be discredited. The intent to smear me is self-evident. What is peculiar is the extraordinarily clumsy and self-incriminating way he went about it.

It is one thing to be ideologically biased; it is quite another to be simply inept.

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