Media Guide: Air Pollution in Iran

Media Guide: Air Pollution in Iran

By AIC Senior Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

AIC’s 2018 “Myth vs. Fact” on Iran’s Geography challenged the myth that Iran, like many of its neighbors, is primarily a barren, desert land, and explains that the country instead features a very vibrant and ecologically diverse environment. As we noted then, Iran is facing serious environmental degradation, in large part due to global climate change and decades of resource mismanagement. However, there is one factor, almost entirely manmade, which is proving rapidly, obviously and devastatingly consequential for Iran’s environment and society, pollution.

The United Nations defines pollution as the presence of a substance, including heat, in “environmental media,” (the air, water or land) which produces “undesirable environmental effects” due to its “nature, location, or quantity.” Iranian officials have identified air pollution in the country as an issue of particular and pressing concern. Former President Hassan Rouhani even described it as a “monster” akin to terrorism in posing “grave danger” to Iran and the world.

This Media Guide will discuss some key aspects of the problem of air pollution in Iran; the areas most affected, the contributing factors and responses from civil society and the state.

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Industry Spotlight: Healthcare (2021)

Industry Spotlight: Healthcare (2021)

By Lauren Elmore, Research Associate

Iran’s healthcare system, along with the general health of the nation, has developed considerably during the last few decades. Overall, life expectancy in Iran has increased at an annual rate of 0.85% (average life expectancy in 2000 was 69.91 years; average life expectancy in 2021 is 76.94 years). Though economic strife, a result of sanctions and the COVID-19 pandemic, has hampered progress, medical technologies, including vaccines and medicines, along with a novel home health care system, have made the healthcare industry within Iran a growing bright spot of both innovation and economic success.

Progress and Development

Iran’s healthcare system has developed into an affordable, versatile, and innovative industry, rendering it attractive to citizens of many countries.

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Industry Spotlight: Shipping

Industry Spotlight: Shipping

By Connor Bulgrin, Research Associate

In 2019, Iran exported an estimated $27 billion of goods to its trading partners. The majority of these exports were oil and other mineral-based fuels, but they also included plastics, organic chemicals, mineral ore, and fruit. Because Iran’s mountainous terrain is difficult to traverse, over 90% of Iranian exports are delivered by sea. As a result, Iran’s shipping industry is vitally important to its economy.

The Strait of Hormuz gives Iran its comparative advantage in shipping. Connecting the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, the strait provides Iran access to international waters and dominance over one of the busiest channels in global shipping. While Iran has threatened to close the strait on occasion, it has never done so. Instead, Iran has focused on using its advantageous geographic position to become a significant player in global shipping.

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MYTH vs. FACT: Iranian Architecture

MYTH vs. FACT: Iranian Architecture

By Research Associate Clara Keuss

MYTH: Aside from classical and medieval wonders, architecture in Iran is largely limited to dated mid-20th century style structures.

FACT: Iran is not limited to one or two set tyles of architectural design. Iran’s diverse climate and varied cultural eras have inspired talented Iranian architects over the millennia to produce a broad array of impressive and creative structures.

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Media Guide: Who’s Who in the Biden Administration on Iran

Media Guide: Who’s Who in the Biden Administration on Iran

By AIC Research Associate Allyson Socha

What is Joe Biden’s history with Iran?

Throughout his political career, Joe Biden has continuously encouraged improvement of relations between the U.S. and Iran. As a senator, Biden called for renewed relations after the 9/11 terrorist attacks and outlined steps for the U.S. to increase direct communication with Iran. During a 2002 speech to the American Iranian Council, Biden expressed his belief that “an improved relationship with Iran is in the naked self-interest of the United States, and I would presume to suggest Iran’s interest as well.” Although the speech did not produce a drastic turning point in diplomacy, it served as a symbol of Biden’s approach towards the Islamic Republic of Iran in future years.

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Media Guide: A Look Back at the Rouhani Administration

Media Guide: A Look Back at the Rouhani Administration

By Senior Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

19th century French journalist and novelist Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr famously wrote, “plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose (the more things change the more they stay the same).” This may well serve as an apt description of Iran under the administration of President Hassan Rouhani, which comes to an end this month after eight rollercoaster years. Having begun with bold promises of domestic reform and international openness, and featuring a landmark agreement between Iran and world powers, the Rouhani administration ends amidst a deadly global pandemic, renewed tensions between Iran and the West, a battered economy and resurgent hardliners poised to reassume full control of government once President-elect Ebrahim Raisi takes office in August. All while the country’s dismal record on human rights and political freedom remains virtually unchanged.

AIC’s 2018 “Myth vs. Fact” on the Rouhani administration highlighted some of the progressive policies the administration spearheaded and the constitutional limitations on Rouhani’s power to bring about far-reaching reform, arguing that Rouhani’s reputation as a political moderate is not as unfounded as many of his Western critics have charged. More recently however, Rouhani has come under intense criticism from even his former reformist allies at home. Former Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref, a prominent reformist leader, went so far as to apologize “to the people [of Iran]” for having backed Rouhani. Aref blasted the Rouhani administration as one which “doesn’t want or cannot implement” meaningful reforms.

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Industry Spotlight: Banking

Industry Spotlight: Banking

By Connor Bulgrin, Research Associate

In 1979, the fledgling Islamic Republic nationalized the banking sector. In that same year, the United States began enforcing economic sanctions against the new Iranian government in response to the hostage crisis; these were just the first in a long line of U.S. and international sanctions to be imposed on Iran over the next few decades. Though this hardly seems a promising environment for a strong financial market to emerge, the Iranian banking sector has been surprisingly resilient over the years. Although international banking restrictions have prevented Iranian banks from amassing large currency reserves, Iran has still managed to become a hub of Islamic banking in the Middle East.

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MYTH vs. FACT: Censorship in Iran

MYTH vs. FACT: Censorship in Iran

Updated 2021 by Research Associate Connor Bulgrin

Original version from 2017 by Research Associate Ariane Gottlieb

MYTH: The Iranian government exercises strict control over the press and tightly censors the Internet and media, making communication with the outside world virtually nonexistent. This censorship makes it impossible for Iranians to publicly criticize the government or to obtain international news and perspectives on current events.

FACT: In reality, this is only a partial understanding of access to information in Iran. While harsh policies and tactics used against journalists in the country cannot be overstated, Iranians have found many ways to circumvent state censorship, such as bypassing the Internet firewall or accessing international channels via illegal satellite dishes. A full understanding of media and censorship in Iran requires distinguishing government laws from the practices of average Iranians.

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Media Guide: Inflation in Iran (2021)

Media Guide: Inflation in Iran (2021)

By Senior Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

The term “inflation,” for most, conjures images of Weimar-era Germany or Venezuela, more recently, where the currency has been so devalued that a loaf of bread or a cup of coffee can cost millions. Though not to the same degree as in these cases, nearly all economies around the world experience inflation and keeping it in check requires diligent efforts on the part of national governments.

Iran has struggled with relatively high inflation since the late 1970s, but seemed to have been making substantive progress in curtailing the phenomenon during President Rouhani’s first term. However, the 2018 re-imposition of economic sanctions by the United States followed by the COVID-19 pandemic sent Iran’s economy into a tailspin with inflation soaring to ever-increasing levels. What follows is an overview of Iran’s experience with high inflation over the past three decades and the ways in which its government and population have reacted to it and how they plan to approach the coming uncertain, potentially difficult years.

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Industry Spotlight: Bitcoin Mining 

Industry Spotlight: Bitcoin Mining 

By Connor Bulgrin, Research Associate

U.S. sanctions and banking restrictions against Iran have had a devastating impact on the Iranian economy. Since 2018, Iran has averaged a negative growth rate and in 2020 alone the Iranian rial lost 57% of its value against the U.S. dollar. Individuals have seen their savings dwindle and purchasing capacity drastically reduced. With its foreign reserves diminishing, the Islamic Republic as a whole has struggled to import foreign currencies and goods.

It comes as no surprise then that individuals and the Iranian government alike have looked at Bitcoin as an opportunity to allay some of their problems. Bitcoin’s appeal lies, in part, in its untraceable nature. It allows individuals to exchange goods and services outside the purview of regulators and other monetary authorities. Although Bitcoin wallets are identifiable through their static electronic addresses, discovering the exact owner of a particular Bitcoin wallet is an incredibly challenging task. As a result, Bitcoin has been viewed by some as a potential method to skirt U.S. sanctions.

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Media Guide: Iran and the Yemeni Civil War

Media Guide: Iran and the Yemeni Civil War

By Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

The Republic of Yemen, located on the southwestern tip of the Arabian Peninsula, is the Middle East’s poorest country and it has been embroiled in a brutal civil war since 2014, one which so far has claimed the lives of some 90,000 people and left 2 million displaced. 

The Yemeni conflict is seen by many Western officials and analysts as a proxy war between Iran, the dominant Shi’a power in the Middle East and its rival Saudi Arabia, the dominant Sunni power. This Media Guide will explore the ongoing civil war in Yemen, and the extent to which Iran has been involved in its origins and current conduct.  

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Myth vs. Fact: Tourism in Iran (2019)

Myth vs. Fact: Tourism in Iran (2019)

By Research Associate Eleanor Dunbar

Myth: Traveling to Iran is dangerous for tourists due to (a) the threat of war, (b) a high rate of terrorist activity in the country and (c) the likelihood of being held as a hostage by the government.  

Fact: Iran is a safe and hospitable country with very low levels of terrorist activity.  Although there are isolated incidents of hostage-taking by the Iranian government, they are extremely rare.  Rising tensions in the Persian Gulf region, however, do increase the risk for military conflict — a factor that tourists may want to consider when deciding whether to travel to Iran.

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Myth vs. Fact: Iran’s Sunni Muslims

Myth vs. Fact: Iran’s Sunni Muslims

By Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

MYTH: (1) There is no difference between Islam in Iran and in any other Muslim country. (2) Only non-Muslims face religious persecution in Iran.

FACT: Although Sunnis make up a commanding majority (85% to 90%) of the world’s Muslim population, they are a minority in Shi’a dominated Iran. According to government estimates, Sunnis make up between 7% and 10% of Iran’s population. Sunni community leaders, however, say that figure may be as high as 25%. Iranian Sunnis have faced state-sanctioned repression of their faith, societal discrimination and economic deprivation for centuries. Despite constitutional protections and guarantees, for Iran’s Sunnis, many of these challenges and injustices persist, oftentimes in the name of national security.

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Media Guide: The 2001 Authorization for Use of Force (AUMF)

Media Guide: The 2001 Authorization for Use of Force (AUMF)

By Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

In the context of escalating tensions between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran, a bipartisan group of six U.S. Senators sent a letter to President Donald Trump on June 18, 2019 bluntly warning that “Congress has not authorized war with Iran and no current statutory authority allows the U.S. to conduct hostilities against the Government of Iran.” The signatories of this letter, among other U.S. lawmakers, have expressed concern that the Trump Administration may utilize a nearly 20-year-old law to initiate military action against Iran without Congressional approval.

This Media Guide will explain the 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF), how has it impacted America’s post-9/11 foreign policy and the possibility that it may play a role in a potentially escalating U.S-Iran conflict.

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Industry Spotlight: Oil and Gas (2019)

Industry Spotlight: Oil and Gas (2019)

By Andrew Lumsden, Research Fellow

When AIC last reported on Iran’s oil and gas sector in February 2018, there was a great deal of optimism surrounding its future among Iranian officials and many international investors. The sector had been boosted by the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which relieved some U.S., UN and EU restrictions on Iran’s access to foreign investment and export markets.

Much however, has changed since May 2018, when the Trump Administration announced its intention to withdraw from the JCPOA. Despite the country being home to the world’s fourth largest reserves of crude oil and second largest reserves of natural gas, the future health of Iran’s fossil fuels sector is now shrouded in uncertainty.  

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Media Guide: U.S. Designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a Terrorist Organization

Media Guide: U.S. Designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a Terrorist Organization

By AIC Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

On April 8, 2019, U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced that the United States would formally designate Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), as a terrorist organization. President Trump argued that the IRGC “actively participates in, finances, and promotes terrorism,” and that by labeling it a terror group, the U.S. would send “a clear message” to Iran that “support for terrorism has serious consequences.”

Trump’s move represents the first time the United States has labeled a part of another country’s government a terror group and it has sparked widely varying reactions from all over the world and intense scholarly speculation as to how the move will impact global politics.

This Media Guide will explain what the IRGC is, what it means to be labeled a terrorist organization by the U.S., how the move has been received in Iran and internationally, and what consequences it is projected to have for both Iran and the United States.  

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Media Guide: Chief Justice Ebrahim Raisi

Media Guide: Chief Justice Ebrahim Raisi

By AIC Research Fellow Andrew Lumsden

On March 7, 2019, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei appointed Ebrahim Raisi,  a conservative cleric and 2017 presidential candidate, as the country’s Chief Justice. Raisi’s selection for this powerful position immediately set off a firestorm of international controversy. Human Rights Watch labeled it “disturbing and frankly frightening,” the U.S. Department of State called it “a disgrace,” and the Center for Human Rights in Iran went further, saying that “Raisi should be prosecuted, not head of Iran’s judiciary.”

This Media Guide will explain who Ebrahim Raisi is, why his appointment as Chief Justice is causing such consternation among human rights activists and what impact he could potentially have on Iran in the coming years.  

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Media Guide: US Coalition Against Iran

Media Guide:  US Coalition Against Iran

By Gabriela Billini, AIC Research Fellow

Introduction:

In January 2019, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo took the opportunity of a regional trip to announce a new foreign policy strategy regarding Iran. This new strategy is to build a coalition that will actively counter Iranian regional influence and build an overall consensus against Iran. This strategy is to be reinforced in an upcoming conference in Warsaw, Poland, titled the Ministerial to Promote a Future of Peace and Security in the Middle East.

Below are some key details regarding the new coalition and background on the conference in Warsaw, taking place on February 13th-14th, which is expected to promote this foreign policy

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Industry Spotlight: Renewable Energy

Industry Spotlight: Renewable Energy

By Andrew Lumsden, Research Fellow

Rarely would the terms “Iran” and “renewable energy” be considered as having any positive correlation. The Islamic Republic has some of the world’s largest reserves of fossil fuels and relies on their export for about half of its national revenue. It also is the seventh largest carbon emitter in the world, with its population consuming energy at a rate more than four times the global average. Only about 0.8% of the electricity Iran produces each year comes from renewable sources.

However, Iran’s leaders, particularly over the past five years, have been making considerable efforts to challenge the dominance of fossil fuels in the country’s energy mix. As part of the 2015 Paris Climate Accords, Iran pledged to reduce its greenhouse emissions by 4% by 2030 through expansion of renewable energy production and utilization. Though substantive progress has been made, particularly with regard to policy reforms and construction of green energy infrastructure, serious challenges to Iran’s renewable energy ambitions remain.   

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Industry Spotlight: Tourism (2018)

Industry Spotlight: Tourism (2018)

By Marykate McNeil, Research Associate

The AIC last published an Industry Spotlight on the subject of tourism in Iran in December of 2016. At the time, the JCPOA had been in effect for more than a year, and tourism in Iran was on the rise. Indeed, by March 2017, less than two years after implementation of the JCPOA, “more than 6 million people visited Iran [that year], up 50% on the previous year, and three times the number in 2009”. Hoping to capitalize on this progress, the Iranian government  announced “about 1750 tourism infrastructure projects” in the form of improved highways, new hotels, increased flights to Iran, etc, with the goal of growing the number of visitors to 20 million a year by 2025. This government push helped bring  foreign corporations to Iran including: France-based AccorHotels, Spain’s Meliá Hotels International, UAE’s Rotana, and the UK’s EasyHotel. Additionally, British Airways and Lufthansa resumed direct flights to Iran.

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